Why subscribe?

Free Subscribers will get access to most of the content—so don’t worry if you can’t pay.

Paying subscribers—I really appreciate your support as it takes a lot of time to read, listen, and scour all the datapoints I pull from + Bloomberg, Options Flow, etc. services are not free. The Fed speeches and analysis where I spend hours every week reading to listening and then summarizing and highlighting them is what paying subscribers will get access to.

This newsletter serves as your Fintwit Curator where I share the most insightful tweets from the smartest people in finance, macro-economics, and markets that may help you be more informed regarding the short-term and long-term market movements and perspectives.

For new readers I’m a hybrid between long-term investor and tactical swing trader. I like to think of myself as an invader (investor + trader) of opportunities in the market.

Here’s what you’ll get from my Substacks and what makes it unique:

Macro analysis and connecting the dots to make educated forecasts—my macro analysis + thoughts are mostly an aggregate of the 3 points below. Connecting the dots across various datapoints is one of my “super powers” I’ve had throughout my life.

Aggregate Human Intelligence—I curate all the top tweets / insights from the smartest people on Twitter, Newsletters, Substack, Bloomberg, Podcasts, etc.

I like learning from people smarter than me and calibrate my forecast against this 'aggregate smartness'.

Technical Analysis, Options Flow and Gamma Exposure—sometimes I can call levels down to the tic based on analyzing technical analysis (MACD, RSI, etc.), option flows, max pain, to GEX (gamma exposure), DIX (dark index), VIX/VVIX, Fear & Greed Index, etc. Take a look at past predictions, I’ve called bounces pretty accurately along with key levels sometimes luckily down to the point accuracy. And I’ve also been wrong a few times but it’s usually a day or so off the forecast as the shorter-term harder to forecast price action is more bullish or more bearish than I anticipated. My longer term forecasts are more “accurate” as short term forecasts can be unpredictable so take the info at your own risk.

I take the aggregate of technical, options analysis, gamma levels, and sentiment to sharpen my forecasts down to key levels.

Fed, Net Liquidity, and Earnings Analyses—I read almost every word that comes out of the Fed Chiefs and share a breakdown and analysis of their speeches. Sometimes their speeches are on YouTube and not transcribed to text, I watch and take notes on all those speeches. From there, I forecast what I think the Fed is going to do based on what they are telegraphing. I look at liquidity data reports (QT, Reverse Repo, TGA, etc.) as well as read earnings of key companies who reflect majority of the US to global economy.

If you review my previous Substack articles since August, I have accurately predicted what the Fed would do and hedged against it multiple times—I learned the market is not so efficient and often does not price in Fedspeak and telegraphing (which is not easy to follow and understand).

I take the aggregate of Fed telegraphed rhetoric, liquidity, to earnings data & analysis to validate my forecasts. The economics, math, and policymakers all has to add up.

My Why

Young people are time billionaires, a 90 year old billionaire will gladly trade places with a younger person with no money. What we learn about how money & liquidity really works, how to build wealth, investing in growing assets, etc. will influence our financial futures and well-being.

Expect to see short term and long term actionable insights where I will try my best to forecast key levels, bounces in the market, and overall target price for the market and sometimes sectors and individual stocks.

My passion is learning. Learning about the markets, especially how fiat money and modern monetary policy (liquidity vs fundamentals, earnings, investing) connects to financial freedom and wealth creation so we have the freedom to live how we want, where we want, and accomplish life goals and dreams.

*This is not investment advice—I am not a financial advisor but a random person on the internet who does not have a license in finance or securities. This is my personal Substack which consists of opinions and/or general information. I may or may not have positions in any of the stocks mentioned. Don’t listen to anyone online without evaluating and understanding the risks involved and understand that you are responsible for making your own investment decisions.